When does the sweep + displacement + fvg (buy) work best?

In Fred's tests the best version was on EURUSD, on the 5-minute chart, in the morning (7am–noon UK), after price has been falling. It averaged +16% of the risk per trade over 239 trades, and made money in both 2020–23 and 2024–26.

Tested patterns · Buy setup

Does the sweep + displacement + fvg (buy) work? Tested on 16,222 trades

Q: Does the sweep + displacement + fvg (buy) work?

Not on its own, but 1 filtered version did. Across 16,222 sweep + displacement + fvg (buy) trades on 8 markets from 2020 to 2026, after real broker spreads, the setup averaged −3% of the risk per trade (−£0.30 per £10 risked) and reached a 1.5× take profit 24.9% of the time.

Not on its own, but 1 filtered version did. Across 16,222 sweep + displacement + fvg (buy) trades on 8 markets from 2020 to 2026, after real broker spreads, the setup averaged −3% of the risk per trade (−£0.30 per £10 risked) and reached a 1.5× take profit 24.9% of the time.

What it is: Price dips below a recent low (sweeping the stops there), then a big fast green candle breaks back above the last few highs and leaves a fair value gap; the latest candle dips into that gap and closes back above its bottom.

Older years vs recent years

2020 to 2023: −1% per trade over 9,040 trades. 2024 to 2026: −6% per trade over 7,182 trades.

The versions that made money

These made money in both 2020–23 and 2024–26, which is how Fred rates a setup green. Each uses its own best stop and take profit.

EURUSD · 5-minute chartmorning (7am–noon UK), after price has been falling+16% per trade · 26% hit target · 239 trades

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By market

Market	Trades	Per trade	Hit take profit
USDJPY	2,065	+3%	26.2%
Gold (XAUUSD)	2,136	−1%	26.1%
AUDUSD	2,209	−2%	24.9%
US30 (Dow)	2,314	−2%	25.9%
EURUSD	2,462	−4%	26%
NAS100 (Nasdaq)	618	−5%	22.5%
GBPJPY	1,926	−6%	21.8%
GBPUSD	2,492	−7%	23.8%

By timeframe

Chart	Trades	Per trade	Hit take profit
5-minute	11,090	−5%	24.3%
15-minute	4,176	+2%	26%
1-hour	956	+5%	27.3%

How Fred tested it

Every time the setup appeared on MT5 price history from 2020 to 2026, Fred entered at the next candle's open, paid the real spread, placed the stop just past the pattern (plus half an average candle) and a take profit 1.5 times the risk. If neither was hit within 48 candles, the trade closed at the last price. "Per trade" is the average result as a share of the amount risked.

Back-tested results, not live trading. Past results don't guarantee future ones. Checked 28 October 2026. All tested patterns · AI chart tools compared